Schools, stores, restaurants, and entertainment venues shut. Sports leagues suspended their seasons. Hotels emptied. And billions of people found themselves under lockdown, working from home— or suddenly out of work. Months of self-isolation and, in many cases, significant spending constraints quickly and dramatically changed how consumers behave. And in the absence of a vaccine for the novel coronavirus and in a world facing ongoing economic pressures—the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) forecasts that the global economy will contract 6 percent this year1—many of these behavioural changes are likely to endure. Consumers reduce and redirect discretionary spending It’s normal for people to reduce discretionary spending in times of social or economic uncertainty. The COVID-19 crisis also seems to have prompted consumers to re-evaluate their overall spending priorities: many pre-pandemic must-haves are now seen as nice-to- haves—at best. According to Deloitte’s State of the Consumer Tracker, which is measuring global consumer sentiment during the pandemic, Canadian consumers expect to spend 20 percent less on discretionary items in the next four weeks than they did in the previous four weeks. They expect to spend 51 percent less on travel, 15 percent less on restaurants and takeout, and 14 percent less on entertainment over the same period. In contrast, consumers expect to spend 29 percent more on groceries and 16 percent more on internet and mobile services.2 These trends indicate it will still be quite some time before the hospitality sector returns to business as usual, and those businesses that depend on travel and tourism are likely to face deeper challenges. Business travel, long a key driver of hospitality sector revenues, will also take time to recover, though estimates range from the end of 2020 to two or three years from now. Some portion of business travel—perhaps 5 to 10 percent—may not return at all because the companies that once paid for that travel may disappear.3 Hospitality organizations will want to stay on top of business travel trends and adjust their business planning accordingly. Canadians intend to use digital to meet many needs: Streaming entertainment 57% Videoconferencing with family 52% Using payment apps/services 52% Virtual reality meet-ups 27% Virtual exercise programs 22% Source: Deloitte, Global State of the Consumer Tracker, Canada, June 27, 2020